Dragon-king extreme events as precursors for catastrophic transition

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Unexpected catastrophic transitions are often observed in complex systems. However, the prediction of such is difficult practice. Here, we find a special kind extreme events with dragon-king probability distribution that occur just prior to transition and, hence, can serve as its precursor. To illustrate application dragon kings precursor, consider practical experimental thermo-fluid system and theoretical model coupled logistic maps quasi-periodic forcing, both systems displaying transition.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: EPL

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['0295-5075', '1286-4854']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/134/34006